When TRUMP wins...

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O.D.

Trad climber
LA LA Land
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:01am PT
I do take exception Bob, to your characterization of the Duck. The Duck is the Duck. An irreplaceable, living treasure. For me, a protected species, even if they sh*t all over the lawn in the park. [just to be clear, I'm not referring to The Park].
tuolumne_tradster

Trad climber
Leading Edge of North American Plate
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:02am PT
Bob D'A

Trad climber
Taos, NM
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:04am PT
You're nutcase Bob just as the rest of you Hillary politards here.


You are for Trump you are just too scare to say it.

You have similar traits just like Trump.

Call me a Hillary loon all you want, I much rather aligned myself with an intelligent, moderate politican than a full on lying whack job who believes every conspiracy theories out there.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:05am PT
What the libtards don't know is that Canada won't have them unless they bring a pile of
cash or go live in Hong Kong or Aleppo for a year. I might leave regardless of who wins -
I'm tired of living in a second world country. I just checked out some really nice condos in
Zermatt for only $500K! Are you kidding me?
tuolumne_tradster

Trad climber
Leading Edge of North American Plate
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:06am PT
fear

Ice climber
hartford, ct
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:09am PT
I much rather aligned myself with an intelligent, moderate politican

lol.... Oh she's intelligent perhaps in that Sith-lord/Cheney murderer kind of way.
Bob D'A

Trad climber
Taos, NM
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:18am PT
Ok fear....

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-unbearable-stench-of-trumps-bs/2016/08/04/aa5d2798-5a6e-11e6-831d-0324760ca856_story.html?hpid=hp_no-name_opinion-card-c%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
survival

Big Wall climber
Terrapin Station
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:20am PT
Trump gets endorsement from David Duke.
Clinton gets endorsement from former CIA Chief Michael Morrell.

Hmmmmm....
Curt

climber
Gold Canyon, AZ
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:25am PT
Trump gets endorsement from David Duke.
Clinton gets endorsement from former CIA Chief Michael Morrell.

Interesting, but we may be past the point where endorsements matter too much.


fivethirtyeight.com August 5 nowcast.

Curt
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:38am PT
Some pundit on PBS the other night said Trump had a decent chance of winning in November if (and it was a big if)... if he kept his mouth shut from his acceptance speech until election day. But obviously, that didn't happen.

Until recently, he had done a remarkable job keeping his numbers up. But his latest gaffes looked to be the tipping point.

Stick a fork in him. He's done.

Now, the big question is will he stay in the race? Or will he take his ball and go home?
zBrown

Ice climber
Aug 5, 2016 - 10:57am PT
Ksolem

http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_htgm.htm[/quote]


One thing we would want to check is that the same method and manner of reporting is utilized in comparing two different time reports.


The old WTF we talkin' about of statistical methods



Reliability is another term for consistency. If one person takes the samepersonality test several times and always receives the same results, the test isreliable.

A test is valid if it measures what it is supposed to measure. If theresults of the personality test claimed that a very shy person was in factoutgoing, the test would be invalid
Bob D'A

Trad climber
Taos, NM
Aug 5, 2016 - 11:16am PT
Pototahead, is that really the best you can do, looks like you stole it from Sesame Street?


Curt

climber
Gold Canyon, AZ
Aug 5, 2016 - 11:30am PT
Now, the big question is will he stay in the race? Or will he take his ball and go home?

Another really good question is: what is next for the Republican Party? They nominated fairly moderate candidates in the last two presidential elections (McCain and Romney) and lost. This year, they nominated an openly racist bigot, who will also lose. Most polling indicates that running a far right conservative like Cruz/Santorum/ Huckabee, etc. would also result in a loss--because the USA is just not that conservative anymore.

So, what do they do?

Curt
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Aug 5, 2016 - 11:47am PT
Conservatism as a set of basic principles has been usurped by the Christian right. Today people like Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee, Carson, etc., are seen as definitive of conservatism. They are not. They are at the far right of the spectrum. Calling them conservatives is as valid as calling a liberal a communist.

Everyone's seen the old Goldwater remarks before. And he was right.

"Mark my word, if and when these preachers get control of the [Republican] party, and they're sure trying to do so, it's going to be a terrible damn problem. Frankly, these people frighten me. Politics and governing demand compromise. But these Christians believe they are acting in the name of God, so they can't and won't compromise. I know, I've tried to deal with them."
Bob D'A

Trad climber
Taos, NM
Aug 5, 2016 - 11:53am PT
"Conservatism as a set of basic principles has been usurped by the Christian right. Today people like Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee, Carson, etc., are seen as definitive of conservatism. They are not. They are at the far right of the spectrum. Calling them conservatives is as valid as calling a liberal a communist."

And Reagan opened the door to the White House to them, he knew his base was shrinking. That is the republican party, they own the Christian right and the Tea Party.


It's not the party of Lincoln or Reagan, it is the party of Falwell. http://www.npr.org/2012/04/26/151444474/party-of-reagan-no-party-of-falwell-writer-says
Coach37

Social climber
Philly
Aug 5, 2016 - 12:01pm PT
" I think that in this case the real number for young black men out of work (as opposed to "unemployed" as more narrowly defined) is the number which is relevant to any sort of policy decisions. "

Well, sure. Because you are not counted as unemployed for stats if you are not actively seeking work. So there could be a substantial amount of folks who gave up seeking work due to any number of reasons, the biggest likely being there are no job opportunities in their communities that pay a living wage.

Add that a significant percent of young black men are incarcerated, and forcibly removed from the labor pool. There is a serious racial discrimination aspect to arrests and sentencing, where black men receive much harsher sentences than a middle class white guy would receive for the same crime.

Without the dumbass "war on drugs" thanks to the 70s/80s era GOP, and the dumbass adventures in the sandbox, thanks to the 00s era GOP; we would likely be in pretty good financial shape as a country and could have used all those trillions we pissed down a hole in Iraq and Afghanistan to shore up Social Security and medicare, invest in our national infrastructure (we have rock bottom borrowing costs, would be stupid not to use that gift of low rates to make investments in infrastructure that pay off way beyond what they cost.
c wilmot

climber
Aug 5, 2016 - 12:09pm PT
The drug war has always been bi partisan. And the large amount of incarcerated black youth in prison is mainly the result of them emulating the lives of rappers whose stories are fictional. It like white rednecks thinking being a hick is cool because they don't understand Larry the cable guy is just an act. Except for black youth emulating their thug icons ends in predictable tragedy
Craig Fry

Trad climber
So Cal.
Aug 5, 2016 - 12:20pm PT
Well I guess Russ got my $14 bucks
My wife likes to read my posts, so I thought I would pay for both of us.

Hey Locker and Russ, I wrote up a True story about Largo's Jacket, it's in the Sheep bugger thread


Looks like Melaina WAS a Porn model!!!

http://nypost.com/2016/08/01/melania-trumps-girl-on-girl-photos-from-racy-shoot-revealed/


You can see some more slightly censored photos Here
http://nypost.com/2016/07/30/melania-trump-like-youve-never-seen-her-before/

I guess this makes her fair game for discussion, right DMT?
Russ Walling

Social climber
from Poofters Froth, Wyoming
Topic Author's Reply - Aug 5, 2016 - 12:23pm PT
Well I guess Russ got my $14 bucks

BZZZZT!!!!!!! Wrongo! Some fine Republicans paid the ransom. All I got from the pinkos was hate mail.

What jacket?
Craig Fry

Trad climber
So Cal.
Aug 5, 2016 - 12:25pm PT
I'll send some more hate mail if you're collecting it.
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