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Ward Trotter
Trad climber
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Aug 24, 2013 - 03:57pm PT
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Wow the beast is looking considerably improved since yesterday.
This may be due to ,wind shifts , slightly cooler night temps ,and fuel profile changes up slope( N andNE, )and the very hard work and successful work of firefighters in harms way.
The wind is expected to shift coming from the north. As I predicted up thread , the SE flank might make a run for those thick slopes in that direction. Good news there is that wind will be out the East after midnight and then back out of the SW Sunday.
See that's the problem with this beast are these frequent constant f*#king wind shifts. It's like being in a room with a power fan in every corner ,turning on and off sequentially
The wind must be already shifting out of NW . Note the heat-up on the southeast flank.
Lets hope when the wind shifts coming from the east after midnight that the western flank doesn't get heated up too bad.
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micronut
Trad climber
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Aug 24, 2013 - 04:04pm PT
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Hope things get knocked down soon. And 10, I think Walt Shipley died in one of the big hydraulics on Dinkey Creek, up out of Fresno/Shaver.
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neebee
Social climber
calif/texas
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Aug 24, 2013 - 05:50pm PT
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hey there say, all...
very sad to hear this... as to the sunset inn of the nickles (nichols) not sure, i saw it spelled both ways...
thankful to god that folks helped them move out, i think?? i had hear that they had critters already or in process of evacuated, the other day, but
NOT completely sure, as i heard that from someone else... not from me talking to someone...
say, one of these links, forgot which one, ALSO showed a very good but small map...
am babysitting, will check in later, but still praying...
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10b4me
Ice climber
Wishes-He-Was-In-Arizona
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Aug 24, 2013 - 06:54pm PT
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thanks micronut, and Cragman
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Michelle
Social climber
1187 Hunterwasser
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Aug 24, 2013 - 07:51pm PT
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It would eat Tuolumne City alive! Used to be a crazy dump but is actually a neat town. my mom owned the hair shop in town for many years. Let's hope it doesn't get to that point. Sending vibes to my wildland friends for safety. And less crazy wind.
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klk
Trad climber
cali
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Aug 24, 2013 - 08:51pm PT
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just got back from the community meeting with fire officials at miwuk.
they seemed really confident about the southwest-- pml and groveland. it's his job to project confidence and hope, but i don't think it was bluster.
west side on the 108 corridor there wasn't anything not already known to anyone following on the scanner and hotlist. crews down in the canyon are building a line from paper cabin to duckwall mountain in hope of turning it away from the north fork canyon and towards the clavey. they hope to have the line finished tomorrow.
if it jumps that line, the contingency line is on the canyon rim along the south edge of tuolumne city. they've painted the sh#t out of that rim and have stacks of resources. but if it jumps the pc-dw line, it would prolly run as far as conditions permit and we're f*#ked
this is basically conditions dependent-- if it goes nuclear like it did a few days ago, in similar terrain, it could run until it wants a beer and a sandwich. some of the forecasts suggest monsoon moving in tuesday-- if we could move that up a day, and then get through tomorrow, we can all start breathing easier.
best news i had all day was the temp-- i went up to p-crest and up aways toward dodge and then back down to twain harte. everywhere i went today the temps were about 10 degrees less than i'd expect this time of year, and no big convection columns.
the net is getting touchy, so you'll either have to terrain map for the images or maybe someone else can post the location maps.
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HighTraverse
Trad climber
Bay Area
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Aug 24, 2013 - 08:56pm PT
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Some good news for PML and Buck Meadows.
Evacuation Advisories Lifted for Pine Mountain Lake and Buck Meadows
Release for Saturday, August 24, 2013/Time: 2:00 PM
Evacuated residents from Highway 120 east to Buck Meadows and residents of Pine Mountain Lake, with exception of Graham Ranch Road beyond the cattle guard, will be allowed to return to their homes beginning on Saturday, August 24, 2013 at 6:00 P.M. Residents along Graham Ranch Road, beyond the cattle guard, can expect to return as soon as fire conditions allow. Only residents and those that can prove they have legitimate business in the area will be allowed in. Pacific Gas and Electric has restored electrical service to all areas of Pine Mountain Lake impacted by the Rim Fire, with the exception of residences along Graham Ranch Road beyond the cattle guard.
Which means they will/are shifting resources to more needed areas.
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HighTraverse
Trad climber
Bay Area
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Aug 24, 2013 - 09:09pm PT
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5:45 PM today MODIS update
I've added a few pins for those who aren't familiar with the area.
Orange and Red have been active in the past 24 hours.
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neebee
Social climber
calif/texas
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Aug 24, 2013 - 11:06pm PT
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hey there say, khanom... as to this:
Neebee, I ran into Matt at Mountain Sage. He's optimistic about his cabin.
thank you soooo much, for sharing this...
:) means a lot, just to know you seen him...
we are hoping the best for his cabin... :)
just a tiny one, but it's his home... :)
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Dr.Sprock
Boulder climber
I'm James Brown, Bi-atch!
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Aug 24, 2013 - 11:47pm PT
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spooky lookin pic dave,
looks like a frickin wildfire tsunami coming over the ridge,
lots of insects and reptiles lost, squirrels are pretty quick,
bet there are stampedes of deer and bear trying to flee,
trees are in bad shape, bark beetles and warmer climate,
only good thing about clear cuts is they might help a bit in situations like this,
bad fire around the north merced a few years back will help out in that area,
backburn from Briceburg? sheesh! they must be getting desperate,
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Ward Trotter
Trad climber
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Aug 25, 2013 - 01:50am PT
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The latest MODIS is indicative of winds out of the north and northwest. The SE and ESE flank is openin up.
After Midnight the wind shifts from out of the east. This may not be good for the western flank near Groveland. Good news is that eastern winds won't last long.
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mouse from merced
Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
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Aug 25, 2013 - 08:59am PT
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Looks to be moving south by the direction of this ground plume.
Taken at 5:52 a.m. this morning by Brian B. Prompt.
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mouse from merced
Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
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Aug 25, 2013 - 11:31am PT
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SF is a classy town and they need to think they are drinking a classy glass of water.
Evian I know that.
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zBrown
Ice climber
Brujo de La Playa
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Aug 25, 2013 - 12:22pm PT
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water ya thinkin', sayin' sumthin like that?
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Brandon-
climber
The Granite State.
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Aug 25, 2013 - 02:11pm PT
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Hahaha.
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mouse from merced
Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
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Aug 25, 2013 - 02:26pm PT
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Well, pilgrim, it's what Hollywood drinks on the set;
ya know--that water from Sierra Eastside and the Big O.
And they have North Hollywood, like Castro in SF, ya bet;
but they have a long ways yet to go, to catch a fart in ol' Frisco.
ANY NEWS ON THE FIRE?
Do they need some Evian on the lines?
"And ZB,, Huh?"
Give it time, Ron, and his message might sink in. Don't want to drain your mental battery so fast. read my grin
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abrams
Sport climber
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Aug 25, 2013 - 02:28pm PT
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Crystal blue perfect skies south west of the fire.
I'm sure this sort of pollution is breaking dozens of federal and state laws.
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Brandon-
climber
The Granite State.
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Aug 25, 2013 - 02:46pm PT
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Really, WBC said that?
I'm not into hating, but those people push me right up to the edge with their words and actions.
Positive thoughts beamed out for those affected.
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