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John M

climber
Nov 12, 2018 - 07:04am PT
This guy is I believe a reporter for ChicoER. He has a lot of video of Magalia on his Facebook page.

https://www.facebook.com/RickDSilva

Its incredible to see what survived and what didn't. Actually a lot survived in Magalia. In one video a home survived that had a hedge in front of it, while many neighboring homes did not survive. In other videos you can see that one side of the street burned and the other didn't.

I still have a hard time comprehending the devastation.

Edit: ( video was posted nov 10th at 12:25. Its not a quality video but the interview is interesting. ) in the videos in the link above the reporter interviews someone who stayed behind in the 2008 fire and this fire. The man saved his house in 2008, but wasn't able to save it in this fire. Its Just hard for me to imagine. The house isn't up in the trees, but down in the canyon and he had angered the neighbors because he had done a lot of clearing on his property, yet still couldn't save his home in this fire. It burned it was fully engulfed in 7 minutes.
mouse from merced

Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
Nov 12, 2018 - 07:56am PT
https://www.lamag.com/citythinkblog/santa-susana-woolsey-fire/

justthemaid

climber
Jim Henson's Basement
Nov 12, 2018 - 08:00am PT
It's completely devastating. Having grown up in an extreme fire danger area and experienced on burning literally to our doorstep this is all very visceral. I'm finding my self getting extremely emotional thinking about what these people are dealing with looking at images of both Paradise and So Cal .

@Blublocr: JohnM and TLP are correct- the 100- foot clearance IS enforced in the Santa Monica's- yet the houses still burned once the wind hit a certain speed. The only thing that would help would be enacting some Draconian laws about removing every bit of vegetation for miles around and setting backfires every year. No one wants to live in what looks like a perpetual war-zone. Once it hits a suburb it's feeding off structure fires- not vegetation. The material your neighbor's house is made out of has more to do with how much your house is at risk .

Winemaker: .
The amount of fallen branches/trees on the ground is amazing. So how are we supposed to clear this 'brush' out? This is an impossible task and when a fire comes through, which it will, it will have plenty of fuel to burn hot and fast. The idea that we can manage this stuff is bullsh#t.


Spot on- our POSUS obviously has never ventured off the pavement at Mira Lago long enough to take a walk in a Cali forest. The sheer volume of forest here to be " managed" is an impossible task. All you can do is provide firefighters with the men and resources to fight them when they break out.

@ Andy- thanks for your input. Glad you and Nita made it through but looking at neighbors who lost everything is difficult.

PS The President should be horsewhipped for all his horseshit tweets!

He should get worse than that for such ignorance and insensitivity.
WBraun

climber
Nov 12, 2018 - 08:09am PT
A Essex

climber
Nov 12, 2018 - 08:39am PT
Brandon-

climber
The Granite State.
Nov 12, 2018 - 09:09am PT
Man, I don’t miss wildfires at all, obviously. My heart goes out to all of those affected. What a f*#king calamity. What’s the solution, in your opinions? More money for forest management? Would that truly help?
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Nov 12, 2018 - 09:28am PT
Brandon, come down to Mojave where you can see scores of used B747s and DC10s lined up. They are beyond their service life as far as airlines are concerned but they are still flightworthy. They can be had for pennies on the dollar and turned into tankers for a few million, or about the price of a home in Malibu. I see no reason, other than Congressional stoopidity on both sides of the aisle, why we can’t have 40 of them sitting at, say, Travis Air Force Base in central California. When the fire started near Paradise 10 or 20 could have been on it within minutes and doused it. They could be on any fire in California within an hour. Furthermore, half the heavy lifters in the Air Force could be retrofitted with tanks. Wouldn’t it be nice if our war machine did something peaceful?
Brandon-

climber
The Granite State.
Nov 12, 2018 - 09:34am PT
Amen, brother.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
Sands Motel , Las Vegas
Nov 12, 2018 - 09:35am PT
Good point there Reilly..
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Nov 12, 2018 - 11:30am PT
Even goats would probably not eat manzanita or grease wood in a chaparral

environment. And if they could they would just hasten desertification.

Desertification doesn't sound too bad to me.

I think I would rather have a house in the desert than one nestled in among dead conifers and dried out brush.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Nov 12, 2018 - 06:03pm PT
You can’t fix stoopid.
WBraun

climber
Nov 12, 2018 - 06:09pm PT
The most worked up member from this table said he lived in Paradise and I should wear a kevlar vest if I ever needed to enter his property.

So you didn't need no kevlar vest as Providence ended up entering his property ......
John M

climber
Nov 12, 2018 - 06:34pm PT
Aw man.. I was worried about that.
i'm gumby dammit

Sport climber
da ow
Nov 12, 2018 - 10:51pm PT
Brandon, come down to Mojave where you can see scores of used B747s and DC10s lined up. They are beyond their service life as far as airlines are concerned but they are still flightworthy. They can be had for pennies on the dollar and turned into tankers for a few million, or about the price of a home in Malibu. I see no reason, other than Congressional stoopidity on both sides of the aisle, why we can’t have 40 of them sitting at, say, Travis Air Force Base in central California. When the fire started near Paradise 10 or 20 could have been on it within minutes and doused it. They could be on any fire in California within an hour. Furthermore, half the heavy lifters in the Air Force could be retrofitted with tanks. Wouldn’t it be nice if our war machine did something peaceful?
There are several problems with this
1. Oft times they can't fly or are much less effective flying. these times often coincide with high fire danger days due to high winds.
2. It does nothing to help the situation with the forests. In fact it exacerbates it in the same way we have for a century.
3. The fuel load has to be removed and if we're competing for dollars I'd rather see them go to prevention.


Of course I'd rather not see us compete for dollars I'd rather see a multi-faceted attack, but with the USDA budget shrinking and now having to come up with an additional 4.7 billion for farmers that seems unlikely
Jon Beck

Trad climber
Oceanside
Nov 12, 2018 - 11:02pm PT
This is a good article about the issues with using military assets along side civilian

https://www.firerescuemagazine.com/articles/print/volume-4/issue-9/wildland/military-aircraft-aid-in-socal-wui-fires.html

When the 2003 Cedar Fire ripped through San Diego County, it forever altered the wildland/urban interface (WUI) playing field. Not only did flames consume 280,000 acres (more than 100,000 in the first 24 hours), they also destroyed 2,800 homes and killed 15 people. The mutual aid system at the time was pushed beyond its limit. The severity of the disaster demanded pulling out all the stops.

Military Involvement in the Cedar Fire
While integration of the military into firefighting operations had been limited prior to 2003, CAL FIRE has successfully worked with the California National Guard (CNG) since the mid-1970s. The CNG program uses military helicopter managers (MHEMs) to keep crews safe and effective in the air.

During fire season, the CNG uses radios that are fully compatible with fire service radios. For decades now, the CNG has readily cooperated during incidents, and its relationship with CAL FIRE has served as a model for other military agencies to follow.

During the Cedar Fire, the U.S. Navy offered its H-3 helicopters to help quench the firestorm. Though an obvious potential asset, the Navy helos had no standardized firefighting training, and their radio connectivity was limited. So to avoid major communications and operations challenges, the Navy ships were integrated only in remote areas of the fire. This action ultimately laid the groundwork for future cooperation with the military and mission expansion.

New Protocol
Following the 2003 siege, firefighting agencies in Southern California tried to decide how best to integrate the military into the firefight. It seemed on paper to be a natural fit, but firefighting is, of course, not the military’s primary job, so joint efforts remained limited to the one Navy squadron that had helped during the Cedar Fire.

Renamed Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 85 (HSC-85) and armed with new H-60s, the North Island-based sailors had the helpful distinction of being a reserve unit. This made them a readily available resource, with limited deployments and consistent personnel.

To streamline the alert and activation of aircraft in the San Diego area, CAL FIRE, in partnership with the Navy, formalized a letter of agreement. Using the existing agreement between fire agencies and the CNG as a template, protocols established included an initial availability inquiry and a detailed alert and activation process, which included both aircraft and fire agency staffing.

The 2007 Firestorm
In the days prior to the 2007 outbreak in Southern California, predictive weather services led CAL FIRE to call on the Navy Reserves. HSC-85 declared it would be ready with one or two of its bucketed Seahawks.

Initially, the largest fire was the Harris Fire. Having already alerted the Navy Reserves, fire agencies made the official call to the Navy Region Southwest for activation. HSC-85 responded a second time with two H-60s. On board those helicopters were not only standard aircrews, but CAL FIRE MHEMs. Their primary responsibilities include monitoring fire behavior and tactics, as well as safety in the fire traffic area (FTA), and performing proper communications. By virtue of the existing agreement and associated training, the two H-60s were immediately ordered to respond to the Rancho Bernardo area for fire suppression.

Due to catastrophic fire conditions, the Navy called on another eight helicopters to assist in the fight. At this point, the Marines offered a fleet of their own, a mix of CH-53E Super Stallions and CH-46E Sea Knights based out of nearby Miramar and Camp Pendleton.

Southern California was 2 days into the siege when these assets were acquired, which presented a series of hurdles to overcome (and little time to do so):

Fire agencies had nowhere near enough MHEMs to staff all the aircraft;
There had been no training or prior coordination to integrate the Marines; and
Marine radios were unable to pick up critical fire frequencies.
To compensate for the lack of MHEMs, helicopters were allowed to travel in pairs, with the lead aircraft carrying the experienced fire captain. The military typically flies its helicopters in sets of two to four, with the lead making radio calls and tactical decisions for the flight. This enabled CAL FIRE to deliver twice the amount of water with half the agency staffing. Given the extenuating circumstances, this proved sufficient for Navy air crews that regularly fought fire on their own installations and had been cooperating with CAL FIRE for the previous 4 years.

Many of the Marine Corps air crews, however, had never even carried a fire bucket. To ensure safety, each Marine helicopter tagged along with a CNG ship of a similar size; CH-46s followed behind CH-60s and CH-53s followed behind CH-47s. This allowed the aircraft to use appropriately-sized dip sites and compensated for the lack of MHEMs. More importantly, it provided radio connectivity via the CNG’s radio compatibility.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Nov 12, 2018 - 11:04pm PT
There are several problems with this

The ONLY problem with this is political will power. I didn’t say this would fix the bloody forests.
It WOULD save lives and homes. Get the insurance industry to pay for it! And please don’t presume to lecture me on aviation - even kindergartners know the wind blows sometimes.

And gubmint agencies ALWAYS find reasons not to cooperate with each other.
That’s what they live for. Pass the whine and get the bloody job done!
i'm gumby dammit

Sport climber
da ow
Nov 13, 2018 - 12:45am PT
It's not a lecture it's reality. It's not just the wind. It's the wind, the smoke, the night, and more. They couldn't fly or would have been ineffective at the the start of the Carr Fire winds were gusting over 50 mph and the smoke was crazy. Same thing for the Woolsey fire. They couldn't fly during the Tubbs fire in Santa Rosa cause that was night and happened faster than they could take off anyway.
I'm not saying it's a bad idea. I think more firepower when the air tankers were stressed would have helped with the Carr Fire but it is definitely not gonna save all the lives you're inferring it will.

Special caution should be taken when operating in wind conditions of 20 knots (24mph)
and above, or when the gust spread exceeds10 knots (12mph). Tactical aerial
operations requiring flight below 1000 feet AGL shall be continuously evaluated when
winds exceed 30 knots (35mph), particularly over ridgelines and/or vertical terrain, or the
gust spread exceeds 15 mph. Low level flight operations will be immediately suspended
in an area where Moderate (or greater) Turbulence is reported by a participating aircraft.
It is the responsibility of the ATGS, pilots, and other responsible persons to
constantly assess the risks versus benefits associated with operating in highwind
and turbulent conditions.


neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Nov 13, 2018 - 06:43am PT
hey there say, ground chuck... thank you for the update...


:(
psykokid

Mountain climber
Pasadena
Nov 13, 2018 - 12:05pm PT
cal fire posted a nice arcgis map noting structure status : http://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=5306cc8cf38c4252830a38d467d33728&extent=-13547810.5486%2C4824920.1673%2C-13518764.4778%2C4841526.1117%2C102100

Here's a video my inlaws neighbor down the street shot as they were fleeing the fire:
[Click to View YouTube Video]

They left about 10 min after my inlaws. at :12 seconds you see a trailer on the right hand side of the road. My inlaws house is just after that, on fire..

ontheedgeandscaredtodeath

Social climber
Wilds of New Mexico
Nov 13, 2018 - 12:21pm PT
What a horrific fire. In my opinion it may be time for an effort to educate the general public living in urban interface areas how to survive a fire. I think it's likely people think the only way out is racing away in a car and then get caught on narrow roads in bad places when there are totally survivable alternatives. In a town that would be places like parks, football fields, areas where the main fire front has already moved through. Fire fighters call these kinds of spots safety zones and part of the fire fighting risk evaluation is where they are and how to get to them. Obviously in some situations the only alternative is to run for your life but folks should be aware of other possibilities.
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