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wilbeer
Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:32pm PT
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Bruce,that Mt .Hickson looks awesome.
And kidding about skiing is the norm over here to.
Fort,I have whacked a knee or two in my days,I try to stay more compact[upright] during low snowpack times.
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Cragar
climber
MSLA - MT
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:35pm PT
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~~~hiatus post~~~
Eh Bruce, the tele thing is much easier today with the plastic thermo-fit 4 buckle boot attached to active bindings... You been on the new sh!t? The only place I find parallel easier is on groomers. I haven't yet locked my heel but I do parallel on the groom and tele everywhere else. I am learning slowly to para in the crud but my knees don't like it. The only time my knees hurt is after a lot of para practice. Although, if you are going to lay down 1800m's worth of turns then you have a point!
That looks hella thin boney willbeer, it's what knee pads are for eh! If we can't kid about skiing then someone is taking their 1st world problem to upper lifestyler level!
The hoot and the hollar is a big part of my ski day; and I don't ski in the south
~~end of driftly talking about drifting snow style, thread drift...
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wilbeer
Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:40pm PT
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Yeah Cragar,[I loved those mags]I break out the knee pads now and then.
I also paramark inbounds a bit.
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TLP
climber
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:42pm PT
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Wasn't it in NY that there was some loose knit (more like loose nuts) group calling themselves something like Live to Ski, Ski to Die and doing the most hair-raising imaginable horrendous little gully descents through the dense trees, some with mandatory rappels in the middle? Or was that some nightmare I had once?
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Cragar
climber
MSLA - MT
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:50pm PT
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Hey TLP, do you mean NATO? Maybe not, I think the NATO folks were more into thicketeering than mountainveggieneering
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Chiloe
Trad climber
Lee, NH
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:50pm PT
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Perhaps we have different definitions. In designing trading systems, curve fitting is the process of adjusting the parameters to achieve the most desirable results. As a generalization that's just partly true. You start out with a functional form, the curve, then estimate parameters to best fit the data. As a specific about the England et al. graphic it's not even partly true, the graph shows an overlay of physical models and observations, no curve-fitting is in sight.
Perhaps I should use smoothing or optimization, instead. More mixup. Smoothing can be parametric (curve fitting) or nonparametric (e.g. running means, actually seen in the graphic; or many alternatives such as lowess regression where there's no fixed functional form or explicit parameters so they are almost nonparametric). Running means (seen in the graphic) involve no optimization, they're just arithmetic. Optimization (such as minimizing a sum of squares or maximizing a likelihood function) might be a good way to fit curves if there are parameters, but it's meaningless for nonparametric smoothing.
With Cowtan and Way, they used the kriging method over the oceans and the hybrid method over land and sea ice. No, they used both over both, and compared their skill both globally and for specific regions.
This combination produced uniquely warm Arctic temps. The Cowtan and Way temperature record showed more warming than the temperature records used. Because you're mixed up about "combination" this leads to a false conclusion. Their hybrid method combines spatial information from satellite data with temporal information from surface measurements, so its trend could be greater or less than that of either component.
How convenient. No comment.
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wilbeer
Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
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Feb 10, 2014 - 05:55pm PT
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You mean Ski to Die,and I have skied with a few of em in the Dacks.
They are great ,no, unreal BC skiers.Real good climbers also.
My friend Fred Foster,in Saranac Lake knows all of them,and has taken me "touring" with them a couple of times.
They for the most part are sick.This was taken on one of those "tours"
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WBraun
climber
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Feb 10, 2014 - 06:40pm PT
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There's no evolution.
You retards say the same stupid sh!t over and over every day in this thread .....
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wilbeer
Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
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Feb 10, 2014 - 06:44pm PT
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Comedy^^^^^^,Not you Sketch,the Braunanator.
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WBraun
climber
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Feb 10, 2014 - 07:37pm PT
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The evolution of the Bruce Almighty
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
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WBraun
climber
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Feb 10, 2014 - 07:44pm PT
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My computer is intel design
Intel Core i5-3570K Ivy Bridge 3.4GHz (3.8GHz Turbo) LGA 1155
It evolved from a previous intel core duo processor.
Which was created at the intel factory ......
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wilbeer
Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
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Feb 10, 2014 - 09:56pm PT
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Ah,the Olympics.
The American woman skier ,live on NBC,just said "Spring Conditions".
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climbski2
Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
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Feb 11, 2014 - 02:48am PT
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So how long till AGW deniers are gone the way of the dodo..
I say.. 10 years..but
sad the damage they will have done in that time.
Keeping real work from being done.
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rick sumner
Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
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Feb 11, 2014 - 10:38am PT
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Back late last night after a couple days out yonder, repacking now for other destinations.
I see Edward is still on the make the models and observations fit at all cost at the expense of reality tangent even as Chiloe diverges into the wind blew the warming away underseas scenario. This seems likely Chiloe, it's part and parcel of the negative phase of the PDO. The effects of the different phases are felt about every 30 years.
Fortmental, thanks for the iditadont headsup. It's happened before and the PETA folk would love to see it cancelled for good. Back in the eighties we used to bring our kids to see the restart out on Knik-Goose Bay. My middle son, who imagined himself as many things as a youngster, used to be outside everyday, even in thirty below with added windchill, hooking our big mutt up to his little sled and mushing about the yard.On another note mentalcase, now that The Chief allowed you out of his toilet, your graphics and pictorials are getting better but still dead wrong.
Bruce, i fear for your sanity. You seem to be on here at all hours endlessly prattling on about what you see in the mirror. You should have some snow now from this latest set of storms. Can't you get outside and find yourself an avalanche or something.
You wack jobs have lost this thing big time. Your favorite warmist scientists are scattering into the wind in all directions, muttering out loud different reasons for the lack of conformity that Ed still denies. Get over it idiots, you've lost, get a life, the world will continue to turn without your hysteric concerns.
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climbski2
Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
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Feb 11, 2014 - 10:48am PT
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I think WC is still made in GB. Wouldn't swear to it though. Really like those Heliums. Been building a new rack. I do need a new pair of ski's next season. Glad I didnt buy a pair this year.. woulda been a waste till yeserday. Hittin the BC tomorrow.... hmmm maybe get a run or two this afternoon
Important work like switching to nuclear and designing better nuclear. That's hard enough with the public opinion against nuclear. Without the flat-earthers tossed in.
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Elcapinyoazz
Social climber
Joshua Tree
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Feb 11, 2014 - 10:49am PT
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Fortunately for me, 99.9% of today's supposed fly fisherman do not know how to single haul and cast with a stiff wind present thus allowing me the entire river to myself.
Could be. Or it could be that the rest of us are WORKING on Mondays, rather than suckling at uncle sam's sweet, sweet teat.
Run along now, them mustard biscuits won't make themselves ya know.
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Chiloe
Trad climber
Lee, NH
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Feb 11, 2014 - 10:54am PT
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I see that blogger Sou has made a point quite similar to Ed's about honest baselining, and the lack thereof in Spencer's blog-published graphs.
What he's effectively done is shifted the CMIP5 charts up by around 0.3 degrees....here is Roy Spencer's chart, with my annotations: Not only did Roy effectively shift up the CMIP5 data, Roy Spencer effectively shifted down the UAH data in comparison with HadCRUT4.
....
How did he fudge? What Roy Spencer has done is he's used a five year average - 1979-1983 to plot his data instead of the normal 30 year baseline. Why did he pick 1979 to 1983 as the baseline? The answer can only be that he wanted to deceive his readers. There's more, with gifs and feisty blog-speak. Denialists are not the only ones who pile on the scorn.
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Cragar
climber
MSLA - MT
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Feb 11, 2014 - 11:05am PT
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It's a matter of changing the rules for entering and exiting trades to produce the best back-tested results.
now I see the problem
Thanks, I can understand where you are coming from now. Or, at least I am clear RE: your projection of the climate science and models.
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Wade Icey
Trad climber
www.alohashirtrescue.com
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Feb 11, 2014 - 11:17am PT
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You wack jobs have lost this thing big time. Your favorite warmist scientists are scattering into the wind in all directions, muttering out loud different reasons for the lack of conformity that Ed still denies. Get over it idiots, you've lost, get a life, the world will continue to turn without your hysteric concerns.
I thought you rested your case a week ago. Why are you still prattling on?
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Wade Icey
Trad climber
www.alohashirtrescue.com
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Feb 11, 2014 - 11:21am PT
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Fortunately for me, 99.9% of today's supposed fly fisherman do not know how to single haul and cast with a stiff wind present thus allowing me the entire river to myself.
you believe your knowledge is superior to 99% of fly fisherman?
What a coincidence,
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